Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 75.975000 85.339504 94.903378 105.369825 116.470983 127.865358 140.415714
2025-08-10 61.910193 75.450832 89.888194 106.297926 124.309410 143.365234 164.940484
2025-08-17 52.342201 68.034725 85.327985 105.533050 128.244946 152.764884 181.024157
2025-08-24 45.593675 62.839136 82.408502 105.815522 132.646793 162.085576 196.486081
2025-08-31 39.391752 57.567684 78.791328 104.743096 135.027259 168.735115 208.601411
2025-09-07 35.474221 54.617831 77.534880 106.081797 139.884713 177.944487 223.386568
2025-09-14 32.307808 52.279525 76.750689 107.750203 144.935431 187.224519 238.128324
2025-09-21 28.403449 48.643330 74.095508 106.929608 146.858467 192.742692 248.436412
2025-09-28 24.378577 44.488638 70.506145 104.721511 146.922514 195.932207 255.917752
2025-10-05 23.319069 44.285880 71.889666 108.611077 154.279974 207.641479 273.265521
2025-10-12 21.777901 43.264484 72.106780 110.958346 159.706976 217.035892 287.892856
2025-10-19 19.312165 40.695278 70.121598 110.383309 161.454140 221.985630 297.251791
2025-10-26 16.917127 38.050082 67.923616 109.470630 162.763962 226.431866 306.076059
2025-11-02 15.251404 36.381089 66.964306 110.096542 165.944282 233.102863 317.529738
2025-11-09 13.343235 34.133152 65.060100 109.368105 167.335618 237.544174 326.278398
2025-11-16 11.910672 32.526765 63.969907 109.647980 169.948070 243.431949 336.729248
2025-11-23 10.259317 30.357250 61.935994 108.554692 170.728894 247.021210 344.376153
2025-11-30 9.372047 29.464713 61.733364 109.920908 174.650786 254.461032 356.661813
2025-12-07 8.637894 28.780095 61.797427 111.623711 178.990363 262.409146 369.563766
2025-12-14 7.419408 27.003249 60.091922 110.786238 179.959251 266.132660 377.307092
2025-12-21 6.057127 24.717195 57.455888 108.532468 178.985368 267.370842 381.971517
2025-12-28 5.968821 25.157451 59.173805 112.502220 186.271846 278.988496 399.361963
2026-01-04 5.605679 24.940866 59.805864 114.897288 191.457408 287.965158 413.522193